TEHRAN (Iran News) – In line with his usual ambitions in the region, Turkish President Receep Tayyip Erdogan has dragged retaining his geographical expansionist strategy of his country into a chess game with the U.S that can lead to a no-win game for both sides for years.
The political differences of these old allies undergo has today become subjected to the support of Russia, partly Europe, from Turkey, and Americans in the arms confrontation with Russians and in making the NATO spiritless have taken the unilateralism road that they are even unable to cope with Turkey in the regional interactions. The U.S. support of Kurds will not even give Turkey enough time for slow respiration. Now one should wait and see if Turkey and the U.S. are engaged in a long-term game that will have no victory for any one of them, indeed who will be the real winner at the margins of this game?
The website of American think tank Brookings Group in an article has given attractive descriptions that It is not pointless knowing that it more exposes the tough condition of the U.S. even in wrestling with Turkey. It writes, “The Biden Administration will likely have five crises on its agenda which have tested the U.S. relations with Turkey in recent years: purchase of Russian S-300 missile system by Turkey and as the result the U.S sanctions on Turkey; the issue of Syrian Kurds; the crisis of Eastern Mediterranean; the case of state-owned Halk Bank of Turkey regarding violating the U.S. sanctions against Iran; and Biden’s view regarding the exit of Turkey from democracy all and all are important topics that neither is Turkey ready to come along with it in favor of the U.S. nor is the U.S. ready to withdraw from its hegemony over one of its allies during the Cold War.
Former U.S. President Donald Trump neutrally protected Turkey against several punitive actions. On January 19, 2021, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken in response to a question about the purchase of S-400 missiles by Turkey from Russia called Turkey the U.S. strategic partner (the policy of carrot). And this indicates the new U.S. administration’s approach towards Turkey. But on the other side, in almost all polls conducted in Turkey, Turkish people have considered the U.S. at the top of the threats against national security.
The dominating climate on the public opinion in Turkey has forced President Erdogan and his government to reduce the ties with the West, and he has even shown a tendency towards the East and the Westerners are concerned about this untold but quite obvious event.
Most of the political experts quite obviously write in the Turkish newspapers and explain that Turkish relation with the U.S. has just remained steadfast due to their security cooperation since the Cold War era. But for now, strategic separation and difference in considering the threat have overshadowed these relations, and as the tension between Turkey and the United States Central Command (CENTCOM) was exposed in the media over the Syria crisis, their military relation has increasingly become more tense (the policy of stick).
The new strategic doctrine in Turkey that both the public and the parliament confirm and support is based on this point that now that the U.S. considers China as a tough, persistent and strategic rival and it also has put a tense relationship with Russia on its agenda, Ankara should enjoy other trend and international relations which is not West-centered like before and pursue its interests in a modified geopolitical balance with the West. Analysts of both sides believe that reducing the tensions while the climate for advance in the above-mentioned five disputed fields is limited, it is unlikely both sides to reach an acceptable formula over the S-400 missile system and this issue will remain as a sustainable problem in their relations for years.
In Eastern Mediterranean, at the best, they may stop this crisis and push the start of the bilateral talks between Turkey and Greece in order that both sides could stop dispatching research ships to their disputed waters. The future of Turkey’s policy regarding Syrian Kurds has been tied with the future of the ruling government in Turkey and its domestic political developments.
As long as the coalition between Erdogan with the far-right parties is alive, the prospect for political reconsideration and change in the trend of bilateral issues will be limited. By the way, the legal case of Turkish state-owned Halk Bank will cast a shadow like a blue umbrella on the bilateral relation with the U.S. The only option provided that if Turkey can realize it in its political and economic system and to some extend depose Americans’ support, is to create strategic relations with the Islamic Republic of Iran, of course, it is beyond the media smear campaign in the field of economy. This relation can both reduce Kurdish tension for Turkey and put both the U.S. and Zionist regimes in a position to accept some of the demands of this country.
Every contract of Turkey with the Islamic Republic of Iran although it may not be checkmate for the Western side, will be to an acceptable extent like the threat of the queen in the chess which forces the opposite side for a temporary retreat and will give Turkey time to breathe more.
- source : IRAN NEWS