TEHRAN (Iran News) – Nowadays the government is under double-blade pressure and it does not know whether it implements the new bill of return to the pre-JCPOA (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action) approved by Majlis and communicated to it, or still pines its hopes on the return of U.S.-President-elect Joe Biden to continue the path that Barack Obama and Europeans went through.
Both Europe is living in illusion to keep alive the dead body of the JCPOA through artificial respiration of waiting for Biden’s decision, and the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran, while is an endless illusion, hopes the revival of the JCPOA that it has waited for over seven years and it does not matter it even waits for seven months more. But according to confirmation of most realist think tanks and experts in the world, the JCPOA will not revive any longer.
Anthony H. Cordesman, head of Burke Chair in Strategy of Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), believes, “Return to the JCPOA and talks with Iran is more difficult than what was four years ago on the U.S. President’s table because one of the reasons is the complexity of the progress of Iran’s nuclear program. First, no one scientist dominated Iran’s program that by his assassination, the program is crippled. It is the cumulative result of efforts that began under the Shah in the 1970s, and which have evolved ever since. It also now draws on some 75 years of data and leaks since the first nuclear weapon – especially data on how France, Israel, Pakistan, India, and North Korea have acquired their nuclear weapons… By 2013, there already were estimates that Iran had all of the technology it needed to make a weapon within a year if it could devote all of its enrichment activity to producing weapons-grade material. Such estimates were probably exaggerated then, and they may be exaggerated now, but one needs to be careful about the probable success of arms control efforts like the JCPOA.”
Cordesman continues, “Other aspects of the military balance are shifting. In 2013, the United States and its Arab strategic partners still had a decisive advantage in terms of modern airpower and precision strike capability relative to Iran’s mix of missiles and aging or mediocre combat aircraft. Today, Iran has demonstrated that it has advanced ballistic and cruise missile technology as well as conventional warhead design capability through its strikes on Saudi oil facilities. These advances in conventional strike capability have implications for Iran’s potential nuclear capabilities as well. So far, no official source has discussed whether Iran has used its missile warfare capabilities to test simulated nuclear warheads– something it would need to do before it tested an actual nuclear warhead. However, a mix of telemetry and recovered, instrumented warheads could test many aspects of warhead design on a covert basis that the JCPOA – or even IAEA inspections – could not address.”
Of course, I should mention this point here that Iran has announced hundreds of time that it has not been after making nuclear warhead and will not seek it, either, but media and think tanks in Europe and the U.S. insist on this big lie with the ill-intention of magnifying and Israelizing the opinions hypocritically.
On the occasion of Iran’s resumption of enriching uranium to 20% purity at Martyr Alimohammadi Facility (Fordo) and the anniversary of the martyrdom of Lieutenant General Qassem Soleimani and the fortieth day of martyrdom of assassination of Iranian scientist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araqchi on Monday night and in a TV program, broadcast on IRIB’s Channel 2, commemorated the day and said, “This action (resumption of enrichment) has a symbolic aspect which shows signs of progress in Iran are unstoppable.”
In the process of enriching uranium to 20 percent purity, he said, “Enrichment of uranium to 20 percent purity is one of the most important issues in Iran’s nuclear program. It is used as fuel at the Tehran Research Reactor facility because since 2010, they did not give us the fuel for the reactor and we managed to provide the fuel by ourselves and before the nuclear deal, the JCPOA, we had produced 400 kilograms of uranium with 20 percent purity. In the JCPOA, since our needs for fuel for reactors have been met for years, it had been accepted to stop enrichment of uranium to 20 percent purity. We had produced enough fuel. According to the JCPOA, we were to announce our need to fuel two years before the current stock finishes and they were supposed to pave condition for either purchase or production of fuel but our stock was enough for three to four years.”
Araqchi added, when the U.S. pulled out of the JCPOA and Iran’s interests in the framework of removal of sanctions declined and even were zeroed, the country decided a five-step action to reduce its obligations in a way that the door for diplomacy remains open. In the second step, we announced that were are not any longer committed to enriching uranium to 3.67 percent purity and whatever we need, we increase the purity. Almost one year ago and after this step, the percentage of enrichment was increased but it was kept under 5 percent. Majlis in its newly approved strategic law has assigned the government to resume enrichment of uranium to 20 percent purity as soon as possible despite differences between the government and Majlis but when the law was approved, it should have come into effect and its executive bylaw was prepared and it has come into effect as of today.”
Now and by considering Majlis strategy in Iran, as well as the realistic and unparalleled analysis of the CSIS, think tank regarding the JCOA, who can still close his eyes on the death of the JCPOA and hide behind the curtain with unrealistic hopes that the very JCPOA will not revive any longer and if Europe has a new proposal, okay, better to offer it.
- source : IRAN NEWS