The gap between approaches of the U.S. Congress and Senate members has created a rough condition for the Democrat Party in the U.S. and one can definitely see that whatever the Democrats have done in the Congress over probing and impeaching President Donald Trump would be undone in the Senate and it will bear no success for the Democrats.

IRAN NEWS POLITICAL DESK

American bimonthly international affairs magazine the National Interest in an article reviewed the process of the U.S. president impeachment and raises this question” Can this process of holding behind-the-closed-door sessions and probes hurt Donald Trump and materialize the Democrats’ goals?’

The writer in his article points to the recent conducted polls where Trump trails all three Democrat presidential candidates. It seems American people want the President to be ousted because of his illegal acts but if the politics is to be based on such matters, now Hillary Clinton should have been the U.S. President. Trump lost the 2016 presidential race to Clinton in two populous states of California and New York but he won the presidential race because of winning the decisive states and could defeat Clinton by gaining majority of electoral votes.

It seems at this stage of presidential election in the U.S., the condition is like the 2016 presidential race and the Republicans are still relying on those decisive states and their supports ultimately to repeat their victory.

This providence of Trump and the Republicans is passing time while presidential candidates of Democrat Party are calling Trump as the most corrupt U.S. President. If the Democrats fail to prove Trump’s offense, their efforts would be translated into their weakness and important blocs of voters will not vote for them.

On the impeachment, the condition in decisive states is the same, and voters likely support impeachment probe but they do not defend Trump’s dismissal because the writer at the end of his article stipulates that Trump’s impeachment likely succeeds in the Democrat-dominated Congress but it will be rejected in the Republican-dominated Senate even if all Democrat members act based on Nancy Pelosi’s demand, only three Republicans may vote in favor of impeachment of Trump while Pelosi needs at least votes of 20 Republicans to impeach Trump. So it is currently apparent that Trump’s impeachment is 17 votes shy of needed votes in the Senate.

Regarding this point, we predict Trump’s current condition in the 2020 U.S. Presidential election better than his rivals and we should wait and see where Trump’s hostility with Iran and his regional policies will move.

With a simple analysis, one can notice some parameters in Trump’s first term in the office. At first, Trump pulled out of the JCPOA in line with Israel to gain its support for election and messed with Europe over milking Saudi Arabia and arms sales. After Iran rejected new round of negotiations, namely the JCPOA, over its missile program and regional policy, Trump decided to resort to military threats. With such a decision, he missed the hit and was again forced to remove the option of military action from the table. He then increased the pressure of sanctions, and reimposition of sanctions not only failed to surrender Iran but also led to gradual recovery of national economy ever since.

At this stage, his only winning card is to support or to plan riots and unrests in the regions in collaboration with Ominous Triangle states in order to weaken Iran to come back to the negotiation table. Suppose this doctrine also does not fulfill Trump’s dreams, the only way is left for Trump will be his return to the JCPOA and giving authority to Europe to transform the goals of the Islamic Revolution. Of course this strategy has chance of success only in President Rouhani’s pro-West government till end of its term.

Between 2020 and 2024, Trump under his businessman-like strategy will definitely have more responses rather than step-by-step policy in companion with Europe.

 By: Hamid Reza Naghashian

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Overcoming the current president of the United States has turned into the main goal of the Democrats in the United States. American Democrats who have been isolated in the last two years, and lost the White House, the Senate, and many governorates, are now planning to win the presidential election( 2020).On the other hand, the public dissatisfaction raised over the performance of the US President has given hope to the Democrats for winning the next election.

Moreover, former US President Barack Obama challenged the existing policies in the United States during John McCain’s funeral, without naming Trump. Delivering his eulogy, Obama said: “So much of our politics, our public life, our public discourse can seem small and mean and petty, trafficking in bombast and insult and phony controversies and manufactured outrage.”

In recent mounts, many of the American Democrats have intensified their verbal and political attacks on President Donald Trump. Former Secretary of State John Kerry implicitly stated that he would not rule out running for president in 2020. Kerry was the Democratic nominee for president in 2004 but ultimately lost the election to former US President George W. Bush. He had also emphasized the critical situation of the United States following the presence of Trump at the White House. Also Al Gore, the former vice president, and Democratic presidential candidate, publicly called for President Donald Trump to resign.

As NPR  reported, Many Democrats are angry. They’re angry with President Trump’s election and what it represents. And they’re angry about the direction of the country, and the inequities in American life. So it would make sense that the person running for the Democratic nomination for president would channel that anger. President Trump did it to win over the Republican base in 2016, saying he gladly carries the “mantle of anger.”Not Joe Biden.

The Democrat tried to put forward a message of unity Saturday at a major campaign rally in Philadelphia before 6,000 people, according to a security official with the campaign, capping off his presidential campaign kickoff.”Some say Democrats don’t want to hear about unity,” Biden said. “That they are angry– and the angrier you are – the better. That’s what they are saying you to have to do to win the Democratic nomination. Well, I don’t believe it. I believe Democrats want to unify this nation. That’s what we’ve always been about. Unity.”

He spoke of choosing “hope over fear, truth over lies and, yes, unity over fear.” He called it a “different path” that can bring together “Democrats, Republicans, and independents.”

For Barack Obama’s vice president, it made sense but lots of liberals aren’t buying it. Rebecca Traister, who authored the book Good and Mad: The Revolutionary Power of Women’s Anger, tweeted that Biden is “deeply wrong” that “Anger at injustice has catalyzed transformative change; ‘unity’ has not.”

Anyway, Biden will face the opportunities and challenges of the upcoming presidential election. But what’s the main constellation of how Barack Obama will play in the presidential election of 2020? Rachel O’Neill wrote in FOXBusiness that Twenty-one Democrats are vying for the chance to face-off against President Trump in the 2020 fight for the White House Opens a New Window. , but it’s a former president who could help determine who gets that chance.

“Obama is gold to Democrats right now,” Democratic strategist and head of research at Bustle Digital Group, Jessica Tarlov, told “WSJ at Large” Opens a New Window.  host Gerry Baker. “Going into the midterms it was the number one thing people were looking for in their candidates… that they had served with Obama in some way or another.”

The Obama connection is seemingly giving former Vice President Joe Biden a leg-up in the race with a recent Hill-HarrisX poll Opens a New Window. showing Biden with a 32-point lead against other Democrats.“Joe Biden presents such an interesting potential threat because he still does seem to be able to speak the language of that Obama-Trump voter,” says Kristen Soltis Anderson, a Republican pollster and founder of research firm Ecehlon Insights. “I think Biden is formidable,” she concluded.

But with Biden having been in politics for a half of century, “there’s certainly a lot of footage of [him] making mistakes on the trail” argued Tarlov. “He’s lost running for president twice before.”Biden came out swinging in his presidential campaign, attacking President Trump’s character in his first ad.  That is the “smartest way for Joe Biden to have entered this race,” Tarlov said. “Make [the race] squarely about him versus Donald Trump… But [Biden] is definitely beatable.”

But the question every Democrat wants to know is, is President Trump beatable? Despite the declining unemployment, accelerating economic growth Opens a New Window. , and rising wages under President Trump, there is “plenty of reason to think this president will be defeated” in the 2020 elections, Tarlov said.“It’s not ‘just the economy, stupid’,” she argued. “It’s healthcare, stupid.”

The latest NBC/Wall Street Journal poll Opens a New Window.  showed healthcare ranking as the number one issue for voters heading into the next election at 24 percent. Immigration coming in second at 18 percent. And the economy and jobs in third place with 14 percent.“There are people that don’t love [Trump] as president but give him credit for the economy,” said Anderson. The NBC/WSJ poll showed President Trump at an overall approval rating of 46 percent, but that number jumps to 51 percent in his dealing with the economy.

However, Anderson warned: “you can be a victim of your own success…the economy is no longer the number one issue.”Republicans have now owned some of the healthcare mess with the actions that they’ve taken over the last 2 1/2 years.  And that remains a really big politician liability for the GOP,” she explained.

Ultimately, Barack Obama will play an active role in the final stages of the presidential election in the United States. This may not be good for Republican politicians, and especially for Trump!

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