Hamas and Israel Are in a Perilous Cycle. Is War a Miscalculation Away?
Hamas and Israel Are in a Perilous Cycle. Is War a Miscalculation Away?

The Israeli military calls it “the campaign between the wars” — short but increasingly harsh operations against the Hamas rulers of Gaza that are meant to warn off the Islamist militant group and postpone, if not prevent, the next major conflagration. The problem is that each round of escalating violence may instead bring the next […]

The Israeli military calls it “the campaign between the wars” — short but increasingly harsh operations against the Hamas rulers of Gaza that are meant to warn off the Islamist militant group and postpone, if not prevent, the next major conflagration.

The problem is that each round of escalating violence may instead bring the next war closer.

For the second time in a week, Israel and Hamas battled across the Gaza border on Friday. Israeli warplanes fiercely pounded about 60 Hamas military sites after Palestinian gunmen from Gaza fatally shot an Israeli soldier.

Both sides then quickly stepped back from the brink.

Hamas, which lost three of its members, said Saturday that it was resuming the cease-fire that ended the last war with Israel in 2014 after intensive mediation by Egypt and the United Nations. Calm was mostly restored but once again, none of the underlying issues fanning the tensions had been resolved, leaving the two sides in a dangerous paralysis.

Israel and Hamas have fought three wars in the last decade and many on both sides think a fourth is inevitable. With all the dangers of miscalculation, any number of mishaps could spiral into a war of no choice that neither side actually wants.

In the latest iteration of this asymmetric conflict, the high-tech Israeli Air Force bombed Hamas’s military infrastructure to drive home the message that the group must halt its inexpensive but destructive new tactic of floating incendiary kites and balloons across the border into southern Israel. The flaming kites have set hundreds of wildfires and unnerved Israeli civilian communities close to Gaza.